dibagger

A crypto’s price against its estimated value.

Dibagger compares the price of 551 cryptos with their estimated value, based on their revenue when they have some, otherwise on their price trend, and turns the gap into a temperature: from freezing to hot.

Popular:BitcoinEthereumAaveHyperliquid

Market weather

Wednesday, November 4
MildOverall, prices are close to their estimated value. Median gap: −6.9%.
  • 53%below their value
  • 25%close
  • 23%above

Temperature: median gap of the 148 rated cryptos above $100M, excluding memecoins. Breakdown: all 551 rated cryptos.

This week’s weather →

A complete example, open to everyone

Bitcoin: the price, its trend value and the 4-year scenario

Price
$79,992
Trend value
$118,345
Gap
−32%
Nov 4, 2026Price $79,992Trend value $118,345−32% below

Scenario (an assumption, not a forecast)

  1. Halving: April 2028
  2. Cycle peak (estimated): October 2029

Bitcoin has no measurable revenue: its scenario extends the underlying trend of its price (capped at ±25% a year, fading over time) and the market’s 4-year cycle. It is not a revenue projection.

Green dots at the start: average price since launch, before a full year was available.

Chart: TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Trend value drawn since May 27, 2013

Black line: the price. Green area: Bitcoin’s trend value, its long-term average adjusted for its usual gap. On the right, the scenario extends this trend with the 4-year cycle (halving, peak, low): an assumption, not a forecast. Today, Bitcoin is −32% from its trend value: below its trend. Quality A.

See the Bitcoin analysis →

What moved this week

Warmed up

Pricier than a week ago

Cooled down

Cheaper than a week ago

Where to start

Real revenue, quality B or better, price more than 15% below fair value

All 14 →+ 14 Pro-only

Solid badge: gap to fair value (cryptos with revenue). Outlined badge: gap to trend value (blockchains, Bitcoin, tokens without revenue).

The market map

The whole market at a glance

Each bubble is a crypto. To the right, the strongest projects; at the top, the lowest prices relative to their estimated value.

  • Top right: strong and discounted
  • Bottom left: fragile and expensive

Explore the map

BTC−32%Bitcoin: −32% · ColdETH+3.8%Ethereum: +3.8% · MildBNB+2.1%BNB: +2.1% · MildXRP−11%XRP: −11% · MildSOLSolana: −2.4% · MildTRXTRON: +1.7% · MildZECZcash: +160% · HotHYPEHyperliquid: +166% · HotXMRMonero: +57% · Hot↗ Strong and discountedFragile and expensive

How it works

  1. 1We measure what the crypto earns: the fees its users pay, day after day.
  2. 2We derive a fair value: its revenue times the multiple the market usually pays for it.
  3. 3We compare it with the price: the gap gives the temperature. Without measurable revenue, we only place the price within its own trend.
Read the methodology →

The 10 largest are open. All the others are in Pro.

The gap to value of 500+ cryptos, the “undervalued” and “overheated” filters across the whole market, the full map, the 4-year scenario, the simulator and one alert per crypto. 14 days free, no credit card, then €12 a month.

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The project

Dibagger is an independent project created by Cédric. The idea: look at cryptos the way you would look at a company, by comparing their price with what they earn. Data comes from public sources and is refreshed every 30 minutes. Learn more

What it is not

Not investment advice, nor a price target. Dibagger describes a situation from past data; it never tells you what to buy or when.