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Hyperliquid HYPE

ProtocolDerivativesRank 11

$84.87

−1.6% over 24h

Data as of Nov 4, 07:30 PM

Layer 1 blockchain known mainly for its decentralized exchange for perpetual futures and spot trading. HYPE is staked to secure the network and used to pay fees.

Verdict

Hot · deeply overvaluedBQuality: strong
FreezingColdMildWarmHot(deeply overvalued)

Estimated fair value

$31.41

Gap to fair value

+170%Well above its estimated fair value

Hyperliquid is well above its estimated fair value. The full analysis adds the range, what the price assumes about its revenue, the metrics compared with the sector and the €10,000 simulator.

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Reliable estimate

Estimate reliability: 83/100

This is not a project grade: it measures how solid the data behind the number is.

  • ✗ Multiple history: 19 months
  • ✓ Steady revenue (not dominated by a few days)
  • ✓ Public sources: protocol revenue and market data
How it is calculated

Descriptive estimate based on past data. Not a recommendation to buy or sell, nor a price target.

Price and fair value

Nov 4, 2026Price $84.87Fair value $31.41+170% above

€10,000 simulator: in the full analysis.Create a free account

Below:

Scenario (an assumption, not a forecast)

The scenario extends the estimated value along its trend and Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle, over 1 to 5 years. It is included in the free account for the 10 largest cryptos.

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Since Nov 2024
×13
All-time high (Sep 2026)
$96.54 · −12%
Time spent below its fair value
32% of days
Usual gap (median)
+30%
The green area shows what Hyperliquid would be worth if it traded at 11× its revenue, as usual; the dotted lines bound the range. When the black line runs above it, the price anticipates higher revenue; below, lower revenue.

Green dots at the start: the first months of revenue, annualised (history still short).

Chart: TradingView Lightweight Charts™ · Fair value drawn since Nov 29, 2024

Where the money goes

Over the last 12 months.

  1. Fees paid by users$894M
  2. Revenue kept by the protocol$687M
  3. Passed on to token holders$687M

Holders receive 100% of revenue, through token buybacks, burns or distributions to stakers.

Key metrics

Compared with the median of its sector (Derivatives).

MetricHYPEMedian
Price / annual revenue30×14×
1-year revenue growthReserved for the full analysis−77%
Net holder yieldReserved for the full analysis+3.3%
12-month dilutionReserved for the full analysis+6.9%
1-year volatilityReserved for the full analysis98%
Worst drop over 2 yearsReserved for the full analysis—
12-month revenue$687M—
Current pace (3 months annualised)Reserved for the full analysis—
Market cap$20.3B—

Growth, net yield, dilution, volatility and rank in the sector: in the full analysis. Create a free account

BProject qualityStrong · 68/100

Revenue health

In the full analysis

In the full analysis

Price risk

In the full analysis

In the full analysis

Grade from A (very strong) to E (speculative) for Hyperliquid. How it is calculated

Comparables

See the ranking

Same sector (Derivatives), similar size.

Its place on the map

Strong and discountedDiscounted but fragileStrong but expensiveFragile and expensive

Hyperliquid sits in “Strong but expensive”: quality B (strong), price +170% from its estimated value.

To the right the strongest projects, at the top the lowest prices relative to their value. Dots: the 158 largest rated cryptos, excluding memecoins.

Explore the market map →
Methodology and sources

Hyperliquid’s fair value: normalised annual revenue × usual multiple (its own, blended with its sector’s if its history is short) ÷ circulating tokens.

Gap = price ÷ value − 1. Hot above +40%, warm above +15%, mild between −15% and +15%, cold below −15%, freezing below −40%.

Project summary written by Dibagger with the help of AI, from its public descriptions (CoinGecko, DefiLlama); official links taken from the same sources.

Prices updated every 30 minutes, revenue daily, computed on Nov 4, 07:30 PM. Methodology v3. Full methodology

This information describes a situation; it is not investment advice.